Football Accumulator Tips: 28th April 2018

Accumulator TipsWe may be entering the madcap final stages of the European club campaign, but we still found time to clock up another acca win last week!

Our followers enjoyed 4/5 winning legs, with the fifth – Wimbledon Draw No Bet against Oldham – a push after the game ended in a 2-2 stalemate (despite the Dons twice taking the lead!).

It just goes to show that you can rely on basic principles in your football accumulators that stand the test of the time no matter what point in the season you’re at.

For this week’s tips, we have introduced an MLS selection into proceedings. With the European campaign coming to an end, punters will be looking to the Americas with their wagers over the summer, and now is as good a time as any to start.

Here are this week’s football accumulator betting tips:

Match Recommended Bet Odds
Newcastle United vs West Brom West Brom +1.50 Asian Handicap 4/11
Southampton vs Bournemouth Bournemouth +1.00 Asian Handicap 4/6
Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers Burton/Draw Double Chance 21/50
QPR vs Birmingham City QPR Draw No Bet 4/5
Atlanta United vs Montreal Impact Atlanta to Win 3/10
Five-Fold Acca Odds 6.51/1

Newcastle United vs West Brom: West Brom +1.50 Asian Handicap

The bookmakers clearly aren’t tapping into West Brom’s mini revival, making them a lengthy 4/1 outsider here.

We’re not suggesting they will win this match, but they can certainly draw or lose by a single goal margin given the togetherness they have shown in their matches under caretaker boss Darren Moore thus far. Indeed, they’ve taken four points off Manchester United and Liverpool in their last pair of starts.

Newcastle are in a rich vein of form of late, but they seem to be much more dangerous when they can counter via the passing of Jonjo Shelvey and the direct, unselfish running of Dwight Gayle. It has all the hallmarks of the Drinkwater-Vardy link-up in Leicester’s title-winning campaign.

The Magpies have won 2/34 of their matches this term by a margin of two or more goals, so it would be a heft statistical anomaly for them to do likewise here.

Southampton vs Bournemouth: Bournemouth +1.00 Asian Handicap

It’s amazing, isn’t it? Southampton have won once since November – a span of 21 league games – and have conceded 12 goals in their last five appearances. And yet the bookies have them as an odds-on favourite here!

We simply have to take them on, and we can do so with a Bournemouth side who aren’t bad away from home; losing less than 50% of their matches on the road.

The Cherries have lost just one of their last four against the Saints too, and their record against sides in the bottom-half of the table is excellent. Have no fear in supporting Eddie Howe’s men here.

Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers: Burton/Draw Double Chance

If you cast your mind back 12 months, you might just recall Burton Albion achieving the great escape from relegation in the Championship.

They took seven points from their last four matches – not spell-binding, but enough – to secure their second-tier status, and it appears as if they are on a similar roll right now.

Victories over Derby and Sunderland have the Brewers dreaming of another Houdini act, and the fixture list could not be kinder with the visit of Bolton on Saturday.

The Trotters are without a win in six (W0 D1 L5), conceding two or more goals in five of those, and while they have endured a tough run of games it’s fair to say they showed very little against sides they ought to be meeting toe-to-toe; the likes of Birmingham, Barnsley and Leeds.

The wind is in Burton’s sails at present, and that should be enough for them to earn a positive result against a demoralised Bolton.

QPR vs Birmingham City: QPR Draw No Bet

The bookmakers continue to undervalue QPR at Loftus Road: 38 of their 53 point haul have come on home soil.

Indeed, in their last three on their own turf they stuck four each past Norwich and Sheffield Wednesday and were unlucky to go down 1-2 to Preston despite dominating the game.

Birmingham have enjoyed a renaissance under Garry Monk, but it’s been one forged at St Andrews (W3 D1 L0) rather than on the road (W1 D0 L2).

Atlanta United vs Montreal Impact: Atlanta to Win

The brilliant website American Soccer Analysis has more advanced statistics than you can shake a stick at, and those – plus the bog-standard league table, for that matter – confirm that Atlanta should be winning this match comfortably.

Some 54% of MLS matches so far this term have ended in a home win; you could debate for hours why that is, and many have. But this extraordinarily high percentage should not be forgotten by punters.

Atlanta have gotten off to a fantastic start so far. They’ve won 5/7 matches played so far, and are unbeaten in four at home. Indeed, their goal difference in front of their home supporters is +10 after just a quartet of matches.

They possess the league’s top goalscorer in Josef Martinez, and Montreal Impact’s keeper, Evan Bush, has had to make more saves than any other MLS stopper this term.

Montreal’s away form – W1 D0 L4 – tells its own story, and the fact they have conceded 12 goals in their last three games….well, you know the rest!