Betting at the start of the new season is always fraught with risk, and that reared its head once more last week when the preparations – good, bad or indifferent – of the teams involved revealed themselves.
It was clear, for example, that Unai Emery’s tactical changes at Arsenal haven’t bedded in yet; they were well beaten by Manchester City and thus downed our acca, along with Macclesfield who went down at home against Grimsby.
So it was a case of 3/5 for our football accumulator betting tips last week, and we’ll be hoping to get rather closer to a full house this week now that we’ve had a look at the vast majority of teams on the coupon.
|Brighton vs Manchester United||Brighton +1.50 Asian Handicap||4/11|
|Burnley vs Watford||Burnley Draw No Bet||8/13|
|Leeds United vs Rotherham United||Leeds to Win||2/5|
|Cruzeiro vs Bahia||Bahia +1.50 Asian Handicap||2/5|
|AFC Eskilstuna vs Jonkopings||AFC Eskilstuna to Win||1/2|
|Five-Fold Acca Odds||5.53/1|
Brighton vs Manchester United: Brighton +1.50 Asian Handicap
The thing that kept Brighton up last season was their home form; they lost just four of their nineteen league matches at the Falmer Stadium. They will need something similarly impressive this term you’d fancy.
They were beaten by Watford last time out but will relish a home date with Manchester United this week, and should be able to welcome back talisman Jose Izquierdo.
You can forgive any Man Utd fan for feeling slightly pessimistic of their side’s chances given the lack of intensity in their win over Leicester last week. Yes, they got the job done 2-1, but they were rather fortunate and once again Jose Mourinho’s negativity came to the fore.
He could be without Antonio Valencia, Eric Bailly, Nemanja Matic and Ander Herrera for this trip, and his side could be vulnerable to the Seagulls’ endeavour.
Burnley vs Watford: Burnley Draw No Bet
A common theme of the past few seasons has been the bookmakers consistently underestimating Burnley.
The Clarets were the best team in England outside of the big six last season, and they finished 13 points above this week’s opponents Watford in the table. Quite why they are as long as 11/8 is an absolute mystery.
Their early competitive outings in the Europa League have actually aided their preparations, and they should hit the ground running in the Premier League.
Watford boss Javi Gracia opted for an attacking line-up last week, with Andre Gray partnering Troy Deeney and Roberto Pereyra just in behind. It worked against Brighton, but you suspect they might get picked off on the counter by the Clarets.
Leeds United vs Rotherham United: Leeds to Win
We rarely back outright winners in our football acca betting tips, but Leeds are a must-bet against Rotherham this week.
They hype and publicity around new boss Marcelo Bielsa is justified, and already you an see his transformative work in the form of Kemar Roofe, Samu Saiz and Mateusz Klich in particular.
The Yorkshire outfit have trounced Stoke and Derby thus far, and with the buzz coming back to Elland Road they should have no problems against their local rivals on Saturday.
Rotherham struggled past a woeful Ipswich side last time out – losing the Expected Goals count, mind – and were demolished by rampant Brentford in their opener. Expect something similar here.
Cruzeiro vs Bahia: Bahia +1.50 Asian Handicap
Cruzeiro have slipped out of contention in Brazil’s Serie A on the basis of their poor recent form: without a win in four, they have scored just one goal in 360 minutes of football.
Bahia are much easier to get behind, on account of their unbeaten run of seven (W3 D4 L0) and in knowing they have ‘won’ the Expected Goals count in each of their last four outings.
Yes, home field advantage in Brazil is key, but Bahia have enough about them to avoid a two-goal defeat at Cruzeiro.
AFC Eskilstuna vs Jonkopings: AFC Eskilstuna to Win
Here’s a useful tip for punters: after each weekend’s round of matches, head to Flash Score and have a good rummage around.
Particularly useful is the little red card icon next to a match which indicates who got their marching orders. Our own research found that Jonkopings’ Jesper Svensson and Daryl Smylie were sent off last time out in the Swedish Superettan.
That suspended pairing has played 17 times each in their team’s 18 matches, so clearly they are important cogs and will be missed, and what’s more Jonkopings have now lost three on the bounce.
The hosts, meanwhile, are unbeaten in five – albeit W1 D4 L0 – and in nine on home soil. They have conceded a paltry nine in eighteen too, and so are worthy favourites here.